Fragile and Unbalanced in 2012

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The outlook for the global economy in 2012 is clear, but it isn’t pretty: recession in Europe, anemic growth at best in the United States, and a sharp slowdown in China and in most emerging-market economies. Asian economies are exposed to China. Latin America is exposed to lower commodity prices (as both China and the advanced economies slow). Central and Eastern Europe are exposed to the eurozone. And turmoil in the Middle East is causing serious economic risks – both there and elsewhere – as geopolitical risk remains high and thus high oil prices will constrain global growth.

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Issues: Developing Economies, Economic Forecasting, Economic Theory

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About the Author

Nouriel Roubini

Co-Founder and Manager, Roubini Global Economics

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Nouriel Roubini is the cofounder and chairman of Roubini Global Economics, an independent, global macroeconomic and market strategy research firm. The firm’s website, Roubini.com, has been named one of the best economics web resources by BusinessWeek, Forbes, The Wall Street Journal and The Economist. He is a professor of economics at New York University’s Stern ...

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